Sunday, March 11, 2018

Cameroon Politics: The Rite of Passage: From the Presidency to Prime Minister

ByRandolph Nkwelle
It has become common knowledge or a ritual to Cameroonians that, to become a Prime Minister in Cameroon the prospective candidate must almost certainly go through Preparatory training courses at the Presidency of the Republic. The current occupant has been in the position since 2009 and so, the stage has been set through the March 2 Cabinet Reshuffle for his departure. The two well-qualified men (Dr Dion Ngute and Paul Elung) who have been rumored in the past as potential replacement to the current occupant have been strategically deployed at the Presidency to be vetted by the President of the Republic. The public is curiously waiting to see who, among the two, crosses the finish line to become the ultimate successor to Prime Minister Philemon Yang.


Historically, it was agreed after the referendum in 1972 that, if the President of the Republic is a Francophone, the Prime Minister must be an Anglophone. And, the President has always maintained the agreement by rotating personalities from the only two Anglophone regions of the North West and South West.

There is every reason to believe that, the new normal to be appointed as a Prime Minister by the President of Cameroon one must pass through a ritualistic training at the Presidency of the Republic. This could be justified at least with the previously two appointments of Chief Ephraim Inoni and Philemon Yang. These two occupied the positions of Assistant Secretary General at the Presidency prior to becoming Prime Minister. Following this belief system and past predictions that became realities, the late Peter Agbor Tabi was rumored as the potential replacement of Philemon Yang and like his predecessors, he too had been strategically placed at the Presidency of the Republic in waiting. Thus, with the Cabinet Reshuffle of March 2, 2018 political pundits are quick to predict and anticipate that there is likely going to be yet another tussle between the three top South Westerners (Dion, Elung and Mengot) now at the Presidency of the Republic to become the next Prime Minister. Or, like it was the case in 1996 when the little unknown quantity, Peter Mafany Musonge (who was the General Manager of Cameroon Development Corporation), sieved through the cracks and was appointed Prime Minister to the consternation of many Cameroonians.  President Biya can defy the postulations of political pundits and bring in the Director General of another corporation like Chief Mekanya Okon of Pamol Plantation Limited. Little known because he was not very influential in Anglophone politics more less in the politics of the South West Region.

When it became apparent that the ageing Prime Minister, Simon Achidi Achu could no longer deliver the goods especially as he had become very unpopular amongst the political circles in the North West Region and conversely, with the coming to prominence (in 1992) of the Social Democratic Party (SDF) of Ni John Fru Ndi, President Paul Biya thought it was time to appoint a South Westerner to occupy that seat at the star building. It was seemingly clear that with Chief Ephraim Inoni as the Assistant Secretary General at the Presidency of the Republic, John Ebong Ngole as Minister of Special Duties at the Presidency and the lone political bureau member of the Cameroon People’s Democratic Movement (CPDM) from the South West, and Peter Agbor Tabi as Minister of Higher Education, the President’s pick would have been either of them. In fact, all these presumptions were wrong as presidential appointments are the sole prerogatives of the President. With Mafany’s appointment, it was evident that he was going to bring into the government those with whom he would be very comfortable to work with. Hence, in the cabinet reshuffle of December 1997, Agbor Tabi and Ebong Ngole were dropped, replacing them with Jerome Eta and Elvis Ngole Ngole respectively. The lone survivor in that trio was Chief Ephraim Inoni. Some unconfirmed sources say with their frustrations, either one of them in a buzzing expedition at the Mountain Club in Buea, was rumored to have said that, “he didn’t know how suddenly a farmer became a Prime Minister.” This was being attributed to Mafany because he left from the position of General Manager of CDC, a corporation predominantly constituting of farmers.

With Mafany as the Prime Minister, the internecine fighting over that position was less of a factor in the South West than it was in the North West. Surprisingly enough, Chief Ephraim Inoni who was the longest serving member of government from the South West at that time, had to eventually replace Mafany as Prime Minister in December 2004. It was his appointment that opened the rite of passage from the position of Assistant Secretary General at the Presidency to becoming Prime Minister. Following the arrest of Chief Inoni, the very daring Peter Agbor Tabi thought it was the right and appropriate time for him to bounce back into the government. No one doubts the courage of this fellow when he used to be the rector of The University of Yaoundé 1, and later became the Minister of Higher Education. In a SWELA meeting in Kumba, he seemingly had wanted a motion of appreciation to be addressed to the Head of State for his Operation Sparrow Hawk. This move, it was believed, was intended as a mockery to the arrest and detention of Chief Inoni. As it’s often said a skillful player never lacks a team, Agbor Tabi made a spectacular come back in government as Assistant Secretary General at the Presidency in the June 2009 cabinet reshuffle, after having spent 12 good years in the cold. This was a position held by Chief Inoni and Yang that paved the way for them to the star building as Prime Minister. The question at that time was, with Agbor Tabi’s appointment, was he therefore the potential Prime Minister after Yang? The answer to that question has never been answered because he died while in office and no Anglophone has occupied that office since then until the March 2 Cabinet Reshuffle. Could the answer to that question now come from the March reshuffle and the filling in of that position? Or could it be that Paul Biya being a political game changer will want to use another route for his pick? He is a master at sowing uncertainty in the Cameroon people’s minds. We are waiting because we know that the President has set the stage for us. And we here at Nanje School of Creative Thinking are the first to begin the dialogue.    

Appointing two prominent sons from the South West in the persons of Messrs. Paul Elung and Joseph Dion Ngute, to meet Minister Victor Ayuk Mengot at the presidency, does it in any way make things complicated for anyone of them to be the chosen one, or is it a strategy for the President of the Republic to bring them much closer to him so he can have a closer look at each of their performance and work ethics? The answer to this question can only be known in the next presidential decree in its Article 1: As from the date of signature, Mr. XYZ has been appointed the Prime Minister and Head of Government of the Republic of Cameroon.

Let’s take the next rendezvous!!!           

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